The Vulcans


The Vulcans

The Vulcans is a nickname used to refer to Republican Presidential candidate George W. Bush's foreign policy advisory team assembled to brief him prior to the 2000 U.S. presidential election. The Vulcans were led by Condoleezza Rice and included Richard Armitage, Robert Blackwill, Stephen Hadley, Richard Perle, Dov S. Zakheim, Robert Zoellick and Paul Wolfowitz. Other key campaign figures including Dick Cheney, George P. Shultz and Colin Powell were also closely associated with the group but were never actually members. During the campaign, Bush sought to deflect questions about his own lack of foreign policy experience by pointing to this group of experienced advisers. After the election, all the members of the team received key positions within the new Bush administration.

Origin

During the summer of 1998, George W. Bush met with Condoleezza Rice at the behest of George H.W. Bush at the Bush estate in Kennebunkport, Maine. Rice had been director for Soviet and East European Affairs of the National Security Council under Brent Scowcroft during George H. W. Bush's administration and Scowcroft had been guiding her career ever since, ensuring she came to the attention of Bush Sr. "Eventually he was quite taken with her," Scowcroft recalled in an interview by James Mann for his book "Rise of the Vulcans" (2004). According to Coit D. Blacker, Rice and George W. Bush also "bonded at Kennebunkport" in August 1998. [Mann, James. 2004. "Rise of the Vulcans: The History of Bush's War Cabinet". p. 250.] The several days of discussions that followed resulted in Rice agreeing to take charge of foreign policy for George W. Bush’s upcoming presidential campaign. Later that year Paul Wolfowitz, a former protégé of George Shultz and Dick Cheney, was taken on as well. Wolfowitz had also served as foreign policy advisor to Bob Dole during the 1996 U.S. presidential election.

In early 1999, a team largely drawn from the middle echelons of the first Bush administration began to act as foreign policy advisors to George W. Bush. [Mann, James. 2004. "Rise of the Vulcans: The History of Bush's War Cabinet". p. 251-252.]
*Richard Armitage had performed various ambassador and emissary roles around the world for Bush Sr.
*Robert Blackwill had been Presidential Assistant for European and Soviet Affairs for Bush Sr.
*Stephen Hadley had been U.S. Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Policy.
*Richard Perle had been U.S. Assistant Secretary of Defense during the Reagan administration.
*Condoleezza Rice
*Paul Wolfowitz
*Dov Zakheim had been U.S. Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Planning and Resources.
*Robert Zoellick had been aide to U.S. Secretary of State James Baker.

The name "The Vulcans" alludes to a huge statue of Vulcan, the Roman god of fire and metalworking, in Rice’s home town of Birmingham, Alabama.

In early 1999, the Vulcans held their first meeting in Austin, Texas, which was attended by Cheney and Shultz. The group communicated regularly afterward. [Mann, James. 2004. "Rise of the Vulcans: The History of Bush's War Cabinet". p. 252.]

During 1999 and 2000, a second group was formed under the leadership of Donald Rumsfeld to deal specifically with the subject of missile defence. While distinct from the Vulcans, it did include Rice, Wolfowitz, Hadley and Perle alongside Shultz and various scientists, including Martin Anderson of Stanford University and Lowell Wood of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. [Mann, James. 2004. "Rise of the Vulcans: The History of Bush's War Cabinet". p. 253.]

Campaign

George W. Bush laid out his foreign policy plans on October 11, 2000, at the second Gore-Bush presidential debate against his Democratic rival Vice President Al Gore.

:"If we're an arrogant nation, they'll resent us. If we're a humble nation, but strong, they'll welcome us. And it's -- our nation stands alone right now in the world in terms of power, and that's why we have to be humble. And yet project strength in a way that promotes freedom." [http://www.debates.org/pages/trans2000b.html]

“The vice president and I have a disagreement about the use of troops,” Bush announced. “He believes in nation building. I would be very careful about using troops as nation builders,” he clarified, expressing particular concerns about the Clinton Administration’s recent involvement in Somalia and Haiti, by telling Gore:

:"“I'm not so sure the role of the United States is to go around the world and say this is the way it's got to be. We can help. And maybe it's just our difference in government, the way we view government. I want to empower the people. I want to help people help themselves, not have government tell people what to do. I just don't think it's the role of the United States to walk into a country and say, we do it this way, so should you.”"

“I believe the role of the military is to fight and win war,” Bush went on to explain, “I don’t want to try to put our troops in all places at all times. I don’t want to be the world’s policeman.”

During the campaign Bush promised to increase the defense budget, stating that “America’s armed forces need better equipment, better training and better pay.” However Bush did not promise as much of an increase as Gore even going as far as to state “If this is a race to see who can spend the most money, I’m going to lose.” Analyst William D. Hartung of the World Policy Institute points out that Gore promised $100 billion over 10 years while Bush promised $50 billion over the same period. However, according to Hartung, “the $50 billion referred to specific projects,” and that “ [i] t could not "possibly" have referred to their entire proposed increase”.

Bush, at the advice of Hadley, also proposed greater nuclear arms reductions than Gore. Hadley’s plan proposed unilaterally reducing the number of proposed long-range nuclear missiles to around 1,500-2,000 from the then 6,500-7,500, but caveats to this included the abandonment of attempts to get the Senate to ratify the 1996 Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty and the development of new low-yield bunker-busting mini-nukes for actual battle-field use. Hartung feared that these steps would “re-start the nuclear arms race” as the U.S. arsenal was upgraded.

At the advice of Rumsfeld’s missile defense group, Bush committed himself to building a strong National Missile Defense. Stating that " [n] ow is not the time to defend outdated treaties but to defend the American people," he made it clear that he was willing to abandon the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty in order to do this. A member of the group had told the "Washington Post" that "All of us to a greater or lesser extent were uncomfortable with the treaty, but Bush said 'My concern isn’t the treaty. My concern is missile defense, and I don’t want anything to stand in the way of it.'"

Bush’s plans for NMD went far beyond the limited options endorsed by the Clinton Administration. As Hartung points out, “Bush’s advisers suggested that if elected, would not limit the system to land-based options, but would move full speed ahead to develop interceptors based at sea, lasers based on aircraft and perhaps lasers or rockets based in space as well.” Hartung estimated that this would cost a minimum of $100-200 billion, far in excess of Bush's promised defense budget increase.

Legacy

Following the election of George W. Bush as President of the United States, the Vulcans all received key positions within the new administration.

*Condoleezza Rice was appointed U.S. National Security Advisor and later U.S. Secretary of State in Bush's Second Administration.
*Paul Wolfowitz was appointed U.S. Deputy Secretary of Defense under Donald Rumsfeld and later president of the World Bank.
*Richard Armitage was appointed U.S. Deputy Secretary of State under Colin Powell.
*Robert Blackwill was appointed U.S. Ambassador to India and later U.S. Deputy National Security Advisor.
*Stephen Hadley was appointed U.S. Deputy National Security Advisor under Rice and later U.S. National Security Advisor.
*Richard Perle was appointed chairman of the U.S. Defense Policy Board Advisory Committee.
*Dov Zakheim was appointed Comptroller of the Pentagon.
*Robert Zoellick was appointed U.S. Trade Representative, United States Deputy Secretary of State and nominated as World Bank president in May 2007.

On December 13, 2001, in accordance with his campaign promises on National Missile Defense, Bush gave Russia six months notice of the United States' withdrawal from the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty. This was the first time in recent history the United States had withdrawn from a major international arms treaty.

The humble foreign policy outlined by Bush during his campaign, however, was quickly dropped after the terrorist attacks of 9/11 in favor of a more aggressive policy that has been dubbed the Bush Doctrine.

ee also

*Project for the New American Century, a think tank formed in 1997 with significant Vulcan membership
*Downing Street memo, a classified British assessment of US war intentions based on a meeting in July 2002
*"Hijacking Catastrophe," a documentary film narrated by Julian Bond (2004)
*Karen Kwiatkowski, Lt. Col. USAF, Ret., whistleblower
*Wolfowitz Doctrine

External links

*US Department of Defense 1992 (Paul Wolfowitz) "Defense Planning Guidance," A compilation of the Wolfowitz draft, the revised draft, and reporting by "The Washington Post" and "The New York Times" [http://www.yale.edu/strattech/92dpg.html]
*Gordon Prather, "Clarke's insights on Bush's 'Vulcans"' (WorldNetDaily, March 27, 2004) [http://worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=37769]
*Glenn Kessler, "U.S. Decision On Iraq Has Puzzling Past" (Washington Post, January 12, 2003) [http://www.commondreams.org/cgi-bin/print.cgi?file=/headlines03/0112-08.htm]
*John B. Judis & Spencer Ackerman, "The Selling of he Iraq War: The First Casualty" (The New Republic, June 30, 2003) [http://www.truthout.org/docs_03/070703A.shtml]

References

*Zalmay Khalilzad (1994) "From Containment to Global Leadership?: America & the World After the Cold War," RAND Corporation ISBN 0-8330-1620-2
*Zalmay Khalilzad and Paul Wolfowitz, "Overthrow Him," "Weekly Standard" (December 1, 1997), an article about Saddam Hussein
*James Mann (2004) "Rise of the Vulcans: The History of Bush's War Cabinet." Viking ISBN 0-670-03299-9
*William D. Hartung (2003) "How Much Are You Making On The War, Daddy?" Bantum ISBN 1-86325-433-1
*Paul Wolfowitz (1997) "The United States and Iraq," in "The Future of Iraq," ed. John Calabrese, Middle East Institute


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