Mubarak era

For a biography of Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak, see Hosni Mubarak.

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Mubarak era refers to the 29 year long presidency of Hosni Mubarak, the period of Egyptian history spanning from October 1981 when President Anwar Sadat, Mubarak's predecessor, was assassinated, though February 2011, when Mubarak was overthrown by a revolution.

Hosni Mubarak

Politics

On 6 October 1981, President Sadat was assassinated by Islamic extremists. Hosni Mubarak, Vice President since 1975 and air force commander during the October 1973 war, was elected President unopposed in a referendum later that month. He was subsequently confirmed by popular referendum for three more six-year terms, most recently in September 2005. The referendums allowed no opposition candidate(s) (with the exception of 2005) as the Egyptian People's Assembly (parliament), which was dominated by ruling party, did not allow any. In 2005 he received 88.6% of the vote against two candidates.

Egypt saw little progress on political reform. The November 2000 People's Assembly elections saw 34 members of the opposition win seats in the 454-seat assembly, facing a clear majority of 388 ultimately affiliated with the ruling National Democratic Party (NDP). A constitutional amendment in May 2005 changed the presidential election to a multi-candidate popular vote rather than a popular validation of a candidate nominated by the People’s Assembly and on 7 September Mubarak was elected for another six-year term with 87 percent of the popular vote, followed by a distant but strong showing by Ayman Nour, leader of the opposition Ghad Party and a well-known rights activist.

Shortly after mounting an unprecedented presidential campaign, Nour was jailed on forgery charges critics called phony; he was released on 18 February 2009.^[1] Brotherhood members were allowed to run for parliament in 2005 as independents, garnering 88 seats, or 20 percent of the People’s Assembly.

The opposition parties have been weak and divided and compared to the NDP. The Muslim Brotherhood, founded in Egypt in 1928, was kept an illegal organization and not recognized as a political party (current Egyptian law prohibits the formation of political parties based on religion). Members are known publicly and openly speak their views. Members of the Brotherhood have been elected to the People's Assembly and local councils as independents. The Egyptian political opposition also includes groups and popular movements such as Kefaya and the April 6 Youth Movement, although they are somewhat less organized than officially registered political parties. Bloggers, or cyberactivists as Courtney C. Radsch terms them, have also played an important political opposition role, writing, organizing, and mobilizing public opposition.^[2]

President Mubarak had tight, autocratic control over Egypt. A dramatic drop in support for Mubarak and his domestic economic reform program increased with surfacing news about his son Alaa being extremely corrupt and favored in government tenders and privatization. As Alaa started getting out of the picture by 2000, Mubarak’s second son Gamal started rising in the National Democratic Party and succeeded in getting a newer generation of neo-liberals into the party and eventually the government. Gamal Mubarak branched out with a few colleagues to set up Medinvest Associates Ltd., which manages a private equity fund, and to do some corporate finance consultancy work.^[3]

Emergency law rule

Egypt is a semi-presidential republic under Emergency Law (Law No. 162 of 1958)^[4] and has been since 1967, except for an 18-month break in 1980s (which ended with the assassination of Anwar Sadat). Under the law, police powers are extended, constitutional rights suspended and censorship is legalized.^[5] The law sharply circumscribes any non-governmental political activity: street demonstrations, non-approved political organizations, and unregistered financial donations are formally banned. Some 17,000 people are detained under the law, and estimates of political prisoners run as high as 30,000.^[6] Under that "state of emergency", the government has the right to imprison individuals for any period of time, and for virtually no reason, thus keeping them in prisons without trials for any period. The government claimed that opposition groups like the Muslim Brotherhood could come into power in Egypt if the current government did not forgo parliamentary elections, confiscate the group's main financiers' possessions, and detain group figureheads, actions which are virtually impossible without emergency law and judicial-system independence prevention.^[7]

2005 constitutional change

Egypt had never had direct elections for the presidency, only referendums approving the ruling party president. By 2005 international and domestic pressure grew for reforms to permit a multi-candidate election and on 25 May 2005 a referendum to Egypt's constitution (Article 76) calling for this was voted on and approved. The amendment's requirements for presidential candidates to be on the ballot were very strict -- the support of 250 elected members of councils and parliament (all dominated by members of the ruling National Democratic Party) including 65 of the 444 members of the People's Assembly of Egypt; being the candidate of a party registered with the government for at least five years -- and no opposition party up to that time would have qualified to run a candidate. Opposition parties called on voters to boycott the referendum as meaningless, but it passed with over 80% approval.^[8][9][10]

Foreign policy

American president George W. Bush and Mubarak, 2002

Mubarak maintained Egypt's commitment to the Camp David peace process, while at the same time re-establishing Egypt's position as an Arab leader. In January 1984, Egypt was readmitted to the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation; in November 1987, an Arab summit resolution allowed the Arab countries to resume diplomatic relations with Egypt; and in 1989 Egypt was readmitted to the Arab League. Egypt also has played a moderating role in such international forums as the UN and the Nonaligned Movement.

Under Mubarak, Egypt was a staunch ally of the United States, whose aid to Egypt has averaged $2 billion a year since the 1979 signing of the Camp David Peace Accords.^[11] Egypt was a member of the allied coalition in the 1991 Gulf War, and Egyptian infantry were some of the first to land in Saudi Arabia to evict Iraqi forces from Kuwait. Egypt's involvement in the coalition was deemed by the US government as crucial in garnering wider Arab support for the liberation of Kuwait.

Although unpopular among Egyptians, the participation of Egyptian forces brought financial benefits for the Egyptian government. Reports that sums as large as $500,000 per soldier were paid or debt forgiven were published in the news media. According to The Economist:

"The programme worked like a charm: a textbook case, says the IMF. In fact, luck was on Hosni Mubarak's side; when the US was hunting for a military alliance to force Iraq out of Kuwait, Egypt's president joined without hesitation. After the war, his reward was that America, the Arab states of the Persian Gulf, and Europe forgave Egypt around $14 billion of debt."^[12]

Mubarak did not, however, support the 2003 Iraq War by the US, arguing that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict should have been resolved first.^[13]

Unrest and terror

Unrest was not unknown during Mubarak's reign. In February 1986 the Central Security Forces mutinied taking to the streets, rioting, burning and looting in demand for better pay. The uprising was the greatest challenge of the Mubarak presidency up to that point and only the second time in modern Egyptian history the Army was dispatched to Egyptian streets to restore order.^[14]

In 1992 14,000 soldiers occupied the Cairo shantytown suburb of Imbaba (est. population 1,000,000) for six-weeks arresting and removing some 5000 people, after al-Gama'a al-Islamiyya followers of Sheik Omar Abdel-Rahman attempted to take control there. ^[15] In the following years al-Gama'a al-Islamiyya waged war against the state and against foreigners. In one year (1993) 1106 persons were killed or wounded. More police (120) than terrorists (111) were killed that year and "several senior police officials and their bodyguards were shot dead in daylight ambushes."^[16] The terror climaxed in 1997 when at least 71 people, mostly Swiss tourists, were killed by al-Gama'a al-Islamiyya gunmen at the Hatshepsut Temple outside Luxor.^[17] For several years Egypt was free of Islamist attacks until July 2005 when 86 people were killed and over 150 were wounded in the Red Sea resort of Sharm el-Sheikh.

In 2007-8 Egypt witnessed more than 150 demonstrations and strikes. "Some were violent and required heavy deployment of the security forces."^[18]

Human rights

The Emergency Law remained in force during Mubarak's presidency and provided a basis for arbitrary detention and unfair trials.^[19] In 2009 Human Rights Watch estimated between 5,000 and 10,000 Egyptians were held without charge. Police and security forces regularly used torture and brutality.^[19] According to the Egyptian Organization for Human Rights, 701 cases of torture at Egyptian police stations were documented from 1985 to 2011, and 204 victims died of torture and mistreatment.^[20] The group contends that crimes of torture `occur in Egyptian streets in broad daylight, at police checkpoints, and in people's homes in flagrant violation of the people's dignity and freedom.` ^[21]

Freedom of Expression, association and assembly was limited under Mubarak. The Press Law, Publications Law, and the penal code regulated the press, and called for punishment by fines or imprisonment for those who criticized the president.^[22] Freedom house upgraded Egypt's Press Freedom status in 2008 from "Not Free" to "Partly Free" in recognition not of a liberalization of government policy, but because

"of the courage of Egyptian journalists to cross “red lines” that previously restricted their work and in recognition of the greater range of viewpoints represented in the Egyptian media and blogosphere. This progress occurred in spite of the government’s ongoing—and in some cases increasing—harassment, repression, and imprisonment of journalists."^[23]

In 2005 Reporters Without Borders placed Egypt 143rd out of 167 nations on press freedoms,^[24] and its 2006 report cited continued harassment and, in three cases, imprisonment, of journalists.^[25] The two sources agree that promised reforms on the subject have been disappointingly slow or uneven in implementation.

Economy

Modern day Cairo

From 1991, Mubarak undertook an ambitious domestic economic reform program to reduce the size of the public sector and expand the role of the private sector. During the 1990s, a series of International Monetary Fund arrangements, coupled with massive external debt relief resulting from Egypt's participation in the Gulf War coalition, helped Egypt improve its macroeconomic performance.

In the last two decades of Mubarak's reign, inflation was lowered from double-digit to a single digit. Gross domestic product (GDP) per capita based on purchasing-power-parity (PPP) increased fourfold between 1981 and 2006, from US$ 1355 in 1981, to US$ 2525 in 1991, to US$ 3686 in 2001 and to an estimated US$ 4535 in 2006.

However monetary restructuring, especially the flotation of the Egyptian pound, the liberalization of the country's money markets, a reform of the tax system and strategic reductions in governmental social spending, resulted in "staggering hardships for the majority of the people" according to at least one observer. With housing scarcer and more expensive "marriage became harder for young people; it became common to have a family of six or seven living together in a single room."^[26]

As of 1989, early in the Mubarak era, Egypt continued to have a skewed distribution of wealth; about 2,000 families had annual incomes in excess of 35,000 Egyptian pounds (£E), while more than 4 million people earned less than £E200.^[27] Social conditions in Egypt improved but modernization "did not succeed in reaching a critical mass of its citizens," furthermore "some of the recent gains were reversed due to the 2008 food price crisis and fuel price shock and to the global crisis-related slowdown in economic activity." According to the World Bank:

infant mortality and malnutrition among children under five both decreased by half and life expectancy rose from 64 to 71 years. The economy and the living standards for the vast majority of the population improved, although in an uneven manner. While 18% of the Egyptian population still lives below the national poverty line, this figure goes up to 40% in rural Upper Egypt – and an additional 20% of the population has experienced poverty at one point during the last decade, heightening a sense of social vulnerability and insecurity. ^[28]

State corruption

While in office, political corruption in the Mubarak administration's Ministry of Interior rose dramatically, due to the increased power over the institutional system that is necessary to secure the prolonged presidency.^{[clarification needed]} Such corruption has led to the imprisonment of political figures and young activists without trials,^[29] illegal undocumented hidden detention facilities,^[30][31] and rejecting universities, mosques, newspapers staff members based on political inclination.^[32] On a personnel level,^{[clarification needed]} each individual officer is allowed to violate citizens' privacy in his area using unconditioned arrests due to the emergency law.^{[citation needed]}

In 2010, Transparency International's Corruption Perceptions Index report assessed Egypt with a CPI score of 3.1 out of 10.0, based on perceptions of the degree of corruption from business people and country analysts, (10 being no corruption and 0 being totally corrupt). Egypt ranked 98th out of the 178 countries included in the report.^[33]

Society and education

Early in the Mubarak presidency (1986), a census found Egypt's population at 50.4 million, including about 2.3 million Egyptians working in other countries. More than 34% of the population was twelve years old or younger, and 68% under the age of thirty. Fewer than 3% of Egyptians were sixty-five years or older. Like most developing countries there was a steady influx of rural inhabitants to the urban areas, but just over half the population still lived in villages. In 1989 average life expectancy at birth was 59 for men and 60 for women. The infant mortality rate was 94 deaths per 1,000 births.^[34]

Under a law pass shortly before the Mubarak presidency, the structure of pre-university public education in Egypt made a nine-year education compulsory. Despite this most parents removed their children from school before they graduated from ninth grade. The basic cycle included six years of primary school and after passing special examinations, three years of intermediate school.^[35] Another special examinations gained admittance to the non-compulsory secondary cycle (grades ten through twelve). Secondary students chose between a general (college preparatory) curriculum of humanities, mathematics, or the sciences: and a technical curriculum of agriculture, communications, or industry. Students could advance between grades only after they received satisfactory scores on standardized tests.^[35]

As in many poor countries the enrollment rate for girls lagged boys. In 1985-86, early in the Mubark presidency, only 45% of all primary students were girls. An estimated 75% of girls between the ages of six and twelve were enrolled in primary school but 94% of boys. In Upper Egypt less than 30% of all students were girls. Girls also dropped out of primary school more frequently than boys.^[35] Girls accounted for about 41 percent of total intermediate school enrollment and 39 percent of secondary school enrollment. Among all girls aged twelve to eighteen in 1985-86, only 46 percent were enrolled in school.^[35]

Overthrow

Mubarak was ousted after 18 days of demonstrations during the 2011 Egyptian revolution^[36] when, on 11 February, Vice President Omar Suleiman announced that Mubarak had resigned as president and transferred authority to the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces.^[37][38] On 13 April, a prosecutor^[which?] ordered Mubarak and both his sons to be detained for 15 days of questioning about allegations of corruption and abuse of power.^[39] He was then ordered to stand trial on charges of premeditated murder of peaceful protestors during the revolution.^[40]

See also

• 2011 Egyptian revolution
• Hosni Mubarak
• Liberalism in Egypt
• Terrorism in Egypt

References

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2. ^ Arab Media & Society. Arabmediasociety.com. Retrieved on 2011-02-02.
3. ^ Interview with MR. GAMAL MUBARAK Hairman Of Medinvest Associates Ltd. Winne.com (1999-01-14). Retrieved on 2011-02-02.
4. ^ Law 1958/162 (Emergency Law) (Arabic) at EMERglobal Lex, part of the Edinburgh Middle East Report. Retrieved 2 April 2010.
5. ^ Egypt After 9/11: Perceptions of the United States 26 March 2004
6. ^ R. Clemente Holder (1994-08). "Egyptian Lawyer's Death Triggers Cairo Protests". Washington Report on Middle East Affairs. http://www.washington-report.org/backissues/0794/9407060.htm. Retrieved 26 January 2011. 
7. ^ Caraley, Demetrios (April 2004). American hegemony: preventive war, Iraq, and imposing democracy. Academy of Political Science. ISBN 1-8848-5304-8. 
8. ^ "Egypt says 'yes' to contested elections". The Independent. 2005-05-27. http://www.iol.co.za/index.php?set_id=1&click_id=85&art_id=qw111716892270B221. Retrieved 2009-03-14. 
9. ^ "Egypt: Referendum Held On Multi-Candidate Presidential Polls". Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. 2005-05-25. http://www.rferl.org/content/article/1058996.html. Retrieved 2009-03-14. 
10. ^ "Egyptians cast ballots in key referendum". International Herald Tribune. 2005-05-25. http://www.iht.com/articles/2005/05/25/africa/web.0525egypt.php. Retrieved 2009-03-14. 
11. ^ F.A.Q. on U.S. Aid to Egypt: Where Does the Money Go—And Who Decides How It’s Spent? by Marian Wang|ProPublica| Jan. 31, 2011
12. ^ "The IMF's model pupil". The Economist. http://www.economist.com/surveys/PrinterFriendly.cfm?story_id=319594. Retrieved 19 June 2007. 
13. ^ "Mubarak warns of '100 bin Ladens'". CNN. 31 March 2003. http://edition.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/meast/03/31/iraq.egypt.mubarak.reut/. Retrieved 29 January 2011. 
14. ^ Weaver, Mary Ann, Portrait of Egypt, p.68
15. ^ Jihad: The Trail of Political Islam by Gilles Kepel, The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2002, p.290-1
16. ^ Murphy, Caryle Passion for Islam : Shaping the Modern Middle East: the Egyptian Experience, Scribner, 2002, p.82-3
17. ^ (Sageman, p.47
18. ^ Egypt on the Brink by Tarek Osman, Yale University Press, 2010, (p.116)
19. ^ ^{a b} World Report 2010. Egypt
20. ^ EOHR calls for investigating 900 torture cases, by Marwa Al-A'sar/Daily News Egypt| 22 June 2011
21. ^ Inside Egypt: The Land of the Pharaohs on the Brink of a Revolution by John R. Bradley, Palgrave MaacMillan, 2008. p.191
22. ^ freedomhouse.org: Freedom of the Press
23. ^ Freedom of the Press. Egypt, 2008 freedomhouse.org
24. ^ Reporters sans frontières - Annual Worldwide Press Freedom Index - 2005
25. ^ Reporters sans frontières - Egypt - Annual report 2006
26. ^ Egypt on the Brink by Tarek Osman, Yale University Press, 2010, p.130-1
27. ^ /Country Studies Egypt - SOCIAL ORGANIZATION
28. ^ Egypt. Country Brief
29. ^ Suzanne Choney (27 January 2011). "Egyptian bloggers brave police intimidation". MSNBC. http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/41285248/ns/technology_and_science-tech_and_gadgets/. Retrieved 28 January 2011. 
30. ^ Jane Mayer (30 October 2006). "The C.I.A.'s Travel Agent". The New Yorker. http://www.newyorker.com/archive/2006/10/30/061030ta_talk_mayer. Retrieved 28 January 2011. 
31. ^ Kalla Fakta (18 May 2004). "Striptease brevpapperl Agent". trojkan.se. http://www.trojkan.se/temp/Reportage/KF_Extraordinary_Rendition/English_version/The%20Broken%20Promise%20-%20%20How%20we%20did%20it.doc. Retrieved 28 January 2011. 
32. ^ Jack Shenker (22 November 2010). "Egyptian elections: independents fight for hearts and minds in 'fixed ballot'". The Guardian (UK). http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/nov/22/egypt-elections-muslim-brotherhood-ndp. Retrieved 28 January 2011. 
33. ^ "CPI 2010 table". Transparency International. http://www.transparency.org/policy_research/surveys_indices/cpi/2010/results. Retrieved 26 October 2010. 
34. ^ country study. Egypt - Population
35. ^ ^{a b c d} Education, from Egypt: A Country Study. Helen Chapin Metz, ed. Washington: GPO for the Library of Congress, 1990.]
36. ^ Kirkpatrick, David D. (28 January 2011). "Egypt Calls In Army as Protesters Rage". New York Times. http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/29/world/middleeast/29unrest.html. Retrieved 28 January 2011. 
37. ^ Kirkpatrick, David D.; Shadid, Anthony; Cowell, Alan (11 February 2011). "Mubarak Steps Down, Ceding Power to Military". New York Times. http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/12/world/middleeast/12egypt.html. Retrieved 11 February 2011. 
38. ^ "Egypt crisis: President Hosni Mubarak resigns as leader". BBC. 11 February 2010. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-12433045. Retrieved 11 February 2011. 
39. ^ Kirkpatrick, David D.; Stack, Liam (13 March 2011). "Prosecutors Order Mubarak and Sons Held". The New York Times. http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/14/world/middleeast/14egypt.html?_r=1. Retrieved 13 April 2011. 
40. ^ "Mubarak to be tried for murder of protesters". Reuters. 24 May 2011. http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/05/24/us-egypt-mubarak-idUSTRE74N3LG20110524. Retrieved 24 May 2011.