New South Wales state election, 2015

New South Wales state election, 2015
New South Wales state election, 2015
New South Wales
2011 ←
28 March 2015

All 93 seats in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly
and 21 (of the 42) seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council
47 Assembly seats needed for a majority
  Barry O'Farrell 2010-Cropped.jpg Minister for Climate Change and the Environment, John Robertson, addressing attendees at the Local Government Excellence in the Environment Awards (2)-crop.jpg
Leader Barry O'Farrell John Robertson
Party Liberal/National coalition Labor
Leader since 4 April 2007 31 March 2011
Leader's seat Ku-ring-gai Blacktown
Last election 69 seats 20 seats
Seats needed steady0 increase27
2PP @ 2011 64.2% 35.8%
2PP polling 66% 34%
PP polling 57% 13%



Incumbent Premier

Barry O'Farrell
Liberal/National coalition

The next New South Wales state election is scheduled for Saturday March 28, 2015 and will elect members of the 56th Parliament of New South Wales. The incumbent centre-right Liberal/National Coalition government, currently led by Premier Barry O'Farrell, will be challenged by the centre-left Australian Labor Party opposition, currently led by John Robertson.

New South Wales has compulsory voting, with an optional preferential ballot in single-member seats for the lower house and single transferable vote with optional preferential above-the-line voting in the proportionally represented upper house. The election was conducted by the New South Wales Electoral Commission (NSWEC).

Contents

Date

The parliament has constitutionally fixed four year terms for the fourth Saturday of March every four years. Hence, the election will be conducted on 28 March 2015.[1]

Background

The Liberal/National Coalition won the 2011 New South Wales state election with 69 of 93 seats in the lower house, defeating the 16-year Labor government who were left with 20 seats.

The Liberal/National government suffered a 6 percent primary and 16 percent two-party swing at the November 2011 Clarence state by-election, but retained the seat.

In the 42-member upper house, the Coalition holds 19 seats, three short of a majority. Labor holds 14 seats, the Greens hold five seats, and the Shooters and Fishers Party and the Christian Democratic Party hold two seats each.

Polling

Newspoll polling is conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes consist of around 1200–1300 electors. The declared margin of error is ±3 percentage points.

Better Premier ratings
Date Liberal
O'Farrell
Labor
Robertson
Uncommitted
Sep–Oct 2011 57% 13% 30%
2011 election
21–24 Mar 2011 48% 32%1 20%
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian.
1 Kristina Keneally
Legislative Assembly opinion polling
Primary vote 2PP vote
Date LIB NAT ALP GRN OTH L/NP ALP
Sep–Oct 2011 45% 6% 22% 14% 13% 66% 34%
2011 election 38.6% 12.6% 25.6% 10.3% 13.0% 64.2% 35.8%
21–24 Mar 2011 41% 9% 23% 12% 15% 64.1% 35.9%
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian.


See also

References


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