Nuclear utilization target selection

Nuclear utilization target selection

Nuclear utilization target selection (NUTS) is a theory regarding the use of nuclear weapons often contrasted with mutually assured destruction (MAD). NUTS theory at its most basic level asserts that it is possible for a limited nuclear exchange to occur and that nuclear weapons are simply one more rung on the ladder of escalation pioneered by Herman Kahn.[1][2] This leads to a number of other conclusions regarding the potential uses of and responses to nuclear weapons.

Contents

Counterforce strikes

A counterforce strike consists of an attack on enemy nuclear weapons meant to destroy them before they can be utilized. A viable first strike capability would require the ability to launch a 100% effective (or nearly so) counterforce attack. Such an attack is made more difficult by systems such as early warning radars which allow the possibility for rapid recognition and response to a nuclear attack and by systems such as submarine-launched ballistic missiles or road mobile nuclear missiles (such as the Soviet SS-20) which make nuclear weapons harder to locate and target.

Since a limited nuclear war is a viable option for a NUTS theorist, the power to unleash such attacks holds a great deal of appeal. However, establishing such a capability is very expensive. A counterforce weapon requires a much more accurate warhead than a countervalue weapon, as it must be guaranteed to detonate very close to its target, which drastically increases relative costs.

Limited countervalue strikes

Some NUTS theorists hold that a mutually assured destruction-type deterrent is not credible in cases of a small attack, such as one carried out on a single city, as it is suicidal. In such a case, an overwhelming nuclear response would destroy every enemy city and thus every potential hostage which could be used to influence the attacker's behavior. This would free up the attacker to launch further attacks with and remove any chance for the attacked nation to bargain. A country adhering to a NUTS-style war plan would likely respond to such an attack with a limited attack on one or several enemy cities.

Missile defense

Since NUTS theory assumes the possibility of a winnable nuclear war, the contention of many MAD theorists that missile defense systems should be abandoned as a destabilizing influence is generally not accepted by NUTS theorists. For NUTS theorists, a missile defence system would be a positive force in that it would protect against a limited nuclear attack. Additionally, such a system would increase the odds of success for a counterforce attack by assuring that if some targets escaped the initial attack, the incoming missiles could be intercepted. But protection against a limited attack means that the opponent has incentive to launch a larger scale attack, against which the defence is likely to be effective. And increased possibility of success of counterforce attacks mean that the opponent has to act before their ability to do so is reduced, which increases the risk of a large scale response to misinterpreted signals.

NUTS and US nuclear strategy

NUTS theory can be seen in the US adoption of a number of first strike weapons, such as the Trident II and Minuteman III nuclear missiles, which both have an extremely low circular error probable (CEP) of about 90 meters for the former and 120 meters for the latter.[3] These weapons are accurate enough to almost certainly destroy a missile silo if it is targeted.

Additionally, the US has proceeded with a number of programs which improve its strategic situation in a nuclear confrontation. The Stealth Bomber has the capacity to carry a large number of stealthy cruise missiles, which could be nuclear tipped, and due to its low probability of detection and long range would be an excellent weapon with which to deliver a first strike.[4]

Unlike several other nuclear powers, the United States has never made a no first use pledge, maintaining that pledging not to use nuclear weapons before an opponent would undermine their deterrent.[5] NATO plans for war with the USSR called for the use of tactical nuclear weapons in order to counter Soviet numerical superiority.[6]

See also

References

External links


Wikimedia Foundation. 2010.

Игры ⚽ Поможем написать курсовую

Look at other dictionaries:

  • Nuclear strategy — Nuclear weapons History Warfare Arms race Design Testing Effects Delivery Espionage …   Wikipedia

  • Nuclear Posture Review — The Nuclear Posture Review is a process “to determine what the role of nuclear weapons in U.S. security strategy should be.”[1] The first NPR of 2002 was the second of these quadrennial reviews of United States nuclear forces undertaken by the… …   Wikipedia

  • Nuclear posture review — The Nuclear Posture Review of 2002 was the second review of US Nuclear Forces undertaken by the United States Department of Defense. The first took place in 1994. The final report is National Security Classified and submitted to the Congress of… …   Wikipedia

  • Topic outline of nuclear technology — For a more comprehensive list, see the List of nuclear technology topics. Nuclear technology is technology that involves the reactions of atomic nuclei. It has found applications from smoke detectors to nuclear reactors, and from gun sights to… …   Wikipedia

  • Outline of nuclear technology — The following outline is provided as an overview of and topical guide to nuclear technology: Nuclear technology – involves the reactions of atomic nuclei. Among the notable nuclear technologies are nuclear power, nuclear medicine, and nuclear… …   Wikipedia

  • nuclear reactor — Physics. reactor (def. 4). Also called nuclear pile. [1940 45] * * * Device that can initiate and control a self sustaining series of nuclear fission reactions. Neutrons released in one fission reaction may strike other heavy nuclei, causing them …   Universalium

  • Nuclear weapons and the United Kingdom — United Kingdom Nuclear program start date 10 April 1940 First nuclear weapon test 2 October 1952 First fusion weapon test …   Wikipedia

  • Mutual assured destruction — Nuclear weapons History Warfare Arms race Design Testing Effects Delivery Espionage …   Wikipedia

  • Single Integrated Operational Plan — The Single Integrated Operational Plan (SIOP) was the United States general plan for nuclear war from 1961 to 2003. The SIOP gave the President of the United States a range of targeting options, and described launch procedures and target sets… …   Wikipedia

  • List of environmental topics (N) — This is a list of environmental topics. They relate to the effect of human activity on the environment.N*(Nagasaki and Hiroshima: see) atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki *nanotechnology (see under Potential risks) *nanotoxicity *NASA Clean …   Wikipedia

Share the article and excerpts

Direct link
Do a right-click on the link above
and select “Copy Link”